Margin Notes: Who Ends Up Holding the AI Capex Bill

Nobody in my reading pile disputes that the AI build-out is enormous. They disagree about who pays for it. Ritholtz and Scanlon say you can already see the bill in bond yields. Damodaran says it is accumulating in private credit. Visser argues the whole "debt endgame" frame keeps failing because it...

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How We Sold Our Used Car in PA

Intro Back around 2013, my father decided to purchase a gaudy sports car. I don’t exactly know why he did it, but he went to the dealership and bought a 2013 Hyundai Genesis Coupe. It’s a nice car, but it was very obviously meant for presentation over practicality. For nearly a decade and a half we...

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Why Google DeepMind's Research Pipeline Matters for Investors

Most investors frame Google's AI story around Gemini, Search, and Cloud. That misses the real asset: DeepMind as a research engine that's betting on what comes after the current transformer wave. The market may be underpricing Google's ability to win the next architectural shift in AI — not just...

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SiriusXM (SIRI): Value Play or Melting Ice Cube?

SiriusXM closed today at $27.52, up 52% from its December lows and trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for the first time in years. The market is re-rating this stock from "terminal decline" to "value with optionality." The question is whether that re-rating is real — or...

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Some Quick Analysis on CrowdStrike Stock

If you’re buying a stock for the long term (3-5 years plus), it’s good to buy below the 200-day moving average. CRWD is below that (red trend line) now. So this is a true trend reversal you can buy into. There is some support in the chart at $240 and then $200. After that, support is at $140 and...

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Digging into Pfizer PFE, Part 2

Last month I took an initial look at Pfizer, the company and the stock. In that post, I go through the process I typically do when looking at a stock with fresh eyes. I checked out the charts to get a handle for the recent price action, did a little reading, and browsed the company's fundamentals....

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Digging into Pfizer PFE, Part 1

I own very few biotech or pharma stocks. I heard the boys on The Compound talking about going long Pfizer recently, and so I thought it would be worth a look. The Pfizer comment was casually dropped toward the end of this episode of The Compound with Friends with JC Parets and Joe Fahmy as guests....

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Checking in on Microsoft Stock MSFT

Microsoft is a core holding for me. It's the #1 position in my main brokerage account and about 7% of my retirement account. A little bit of history. I held Microsoft through some flat years 2003-2013 or so. In 2014, Satya Nadella came in as CEO and brought MSFT back as a growth stock. Since then,...

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