Microsoft (MSFT) at $378: Accumulating the AI Operating System at a Discount Microsoft is down 32% from its August 2025 peak. At $379, you're buying one of the best businesses ever built — triple-moat, 46% operating margins, 18% revenue growth — at a PEG of 1.22. That's not a distressed company....

SiriusXM closed today at $27.52, up 52% from its December lows and trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for the first time in years. The market is re-rating this stock from "terminal decline" to "value with optionality." The question is whether that re-rating is real — or...

Workday closed today at $122.63, down ~56% from its 52-week high of $276. That's not a dip. That's a 12-month bear market in a single ticker. The company is doing $9.55B in revenue, $2.78B in free cash flow, has a 97% gross retention rate, and is being priced like the market thinks AI is going to...

If you’re buying a stock for the long term (3-5 years plus), it’s good to buy below the 200-day moving average. CRWD is below that (red trend line) now. So this is a true trend reversal you can buy into. There is some support in the chart at $240 and then $200. After that, support is at $140 and...

Last month I took an initial look at Pfizer, the company and the stock. In that post, I go through the process I typically do when looking at a stock with fresh eyes. I checked out the charts to get a handle for the recent price action, did a little reading, and browsed the company's fundamentals....

I own very few biotech or pharma stocks. I heard the boys on The Compound talking about going long Pfizer recently, and so I thought it would be worth a look. The Pfizer comment was casually dropped toward the end of this episode of The Compound with Friends with JC Parets and Joe Fahmy as guests....

Microsoft is a core holding for me. It's the #1 position in my main brokerage account and about 7% of my retirement account. A little bit of history. I held Microsoft through some flat years 2003-2013 or so. In 2014, Satya Nadella came in as CEO and brought MSFT back as a growth stock. Since then,...

As we enter (or exit?) this bear market in stocks, there will be some buying opportunities. How do you know if that stock that just fell 80% is "on sale" or not? This is not investment advice, but an example ? on how I calculate "fair value" for a stock before investing in it. I'm investing for the...

This image comparing Tesla's market cap to the market caps of traditional car companies went viral this week. I think there's going to be a similar graphic for Coinbase in 5-10 years....

I call a stock frothy if it's up 50% or more over the past year or so. When a stock doubles, triples, or like Tesla is up 800% over a short time period, there is a good chance the price will fall. So how do you safely buy a frothy stock? When a stock is up that much, the "fundamentals" of the...