So here is the question who is at fault? Is it demand or is it the speculator? I decided to find this out once and for all what is going on. In Michael Masters testimony he said that the Index Speculator is making things worse because of the calendar spread that is being created. The question...

Tom at Neural Market Trends posed the question on how one would build a neural network model of the US Dollar. I added the following comment: > My answer is you can’t. I am dead serious here. There is no real precedent for this since it is a black swan type event. The only thing you could do is do...

What if I told you that the reason why oil and commodities are high is because there is a positive re-enforcing feedback loop going on? I have been saying that it is the speculators. But what if something bigger is going on? What if what we have is a twist on The Power of Nightmares (Video)? The...

There was a bit of spike in Ford, and then today the bombshell was dropped. > Ford Motor Co. today said it might not achieve its goal of profitability in 2009 for its troubled North American business unit — citing higher commodity costs and the sour U.S. economy, which is causing gas-sensitive...

Folks STOP BEING IN DENIAL! Finally SOMEBODY big says it as it is! > "Index speculators' trading strategies amount to virtual hoarding via the commodities futures markets," Michael Masters, a former hedge fund trader, told the committee in prepared testimony. And he goes on... > "Institutional...

I am trying to get my head around this alternative deal that Microsoft is proposing. > “In light of developments since the withdrawal of the Microsoft proposal to acquire Yahoo! Inc., Microsoft announced that it is continuing to explore and pursue its alternatives to improve and expand its online...

Recently in a local financial paper it was said that some local Swiss Traders are stepping out of the soft commodities trade. Some banks have said that they have never even started that trade. So what was the reason? Ethics... Maybe it is a local Swiss thing, but many with money are very...

I have been a naysayer of buying commodities because I equate it to flipping houses. When you buy a commodity where you do not plan on consuming it yourself you are adding no value and making it more difficult for those that do want to run a business. The analysts have been saying the commodity...

Woohoo, it looks like we are buying a house. We negotiated a new deal and one that I think is pretty good. To fund the down payment I had to sell off half of our portfolio. This allowed me to take a look at how good our returns were. Remember this is since beginning of February when I said I was a...

Yesterday I said that Yahoo will close at 25. How did Yahoo do? It closed at 24.47 but it did touch 25. Pretty close considering that most people said it would close around 30% lower. > But Yahoo's share fall was not as steep as the 30 percent plunge anticipated by some analysts, indicating there...