I have not been posting as much as usual. It has been a really busy time for me. I have a whole lot of blog posts that I need to release and simply have not had the time. Though in the next couple of weeks things should ease up a bit for me. What's new? Well I am writing algo trading routines, that...

In February I did a simulation of the market. And if you look at how I predicted things, it has turned out to be pretty much on the money. My tops and bottoms are not completely right in terms of values, but pretty close. Closer than I expected. Along comes RBS and says the following. > A credit...

Ok I have officially turned bearish on Apple. Has the iPhone been a success? Yeah it was ok, but pretty good in general. I turned bearish because iPhone2 is not a cheap deal. The iPhone at 399 was a cheap deal because you could jailbreak your iPhone. And this was the exact reason why people bought...

So here is the question who is at fault? Is it demand or is it the speculator? I decided to find this out once and for all what is going on. In Michael Masters testimony he said that the Index Speculator is making things worse because of the calendar spread that is being created. The question...

Tom at Neural Market Trends posed the question on how one would build a neural network model of the US Dollar. I added the following comment: > My answer is you can’t. I am dead serious here. There is no real precedent for this since it is a black swan type event. The only thing you could do is do...

What if I told you that the reason why oil and commodities are high is because there is a positive re-enforcing feedback loop going on? I have been saying that it is the speculators. But what if something bigger is going on? What if what we have is a twist on The Power of Nightmares (Video)? The...

There was a bit of spike in Ford, and then today the bombshell was dropped. > Ford Motor Co. today said it might not achieve its goal of profitability in 2009 for its troubled North American business unit — citing higher commodity costs and the sour U.S. economy, which is causing gas-sensitive...

Folks STOP BEING IN DENIAL! Finally SOMEBODY big says it as it is! > "Index speculators' trading strategies amount to virtual hoarding via the commodities futures markets," Michael Masters, a former hedge fund trader, told the committee in prepared testimony. And he goes on... > "Institutional...

I am trying to get my head around this alternative deal that Microsoft is proposing. > “In light of developments since the withdrawal of the Microsoft proposal to acquire Yahoo! Inc., Microsoft announced that it is continuing to explore and pursue its alternatives to improve and expand its online...

Recently in a local financial paper it was said that some local Swiss Traders are stepping out of the soft commodities trade. Some banks have said that they have never even started that trade. So what was the reason? Ethics... Maybe it is a local Swiss thing, but many with money are very...