Selling Into a Bear Market Rally is Wrong!

Cramer talked about ABB and selling ABB into a rally because you can pick up ABB cheaper. In fact you hear it everywhere. Sell into the rally.

Is it right to sell into a bear rally? I decided to pursue this using numbers and came to conclusion that selling into a bear rally is wrong. This is based on the assumption that you are out of the market wanting to get in, and not in the market wanting to get out.

Is this 1990 for Banking?

Jim Cramer yesterday said that we have yet to reach the bottom in the banking sector. He talked about how there is not yet a banking run and that Citi traded in the 5 dollar range. What Jim Cramer said is that we are still not near the bottom. So is Jim right? Was 1990 (more…)

The Mathematics of Averaging Down

Do you know how to average down? Ever given averaging down some serious thought? Cramer says that you should average down in 4 buys. Is that right? How about 10 times? What about twice? Which is better? I hate when people say, oh 4 times is a good number because somebody said it was. So let’s explore the dynamics behind averaging down and how purchase count affects the overall share price.

I Don’t Buy The Commodity Rally

Yes I know prices for commodities are up, and yes there is growing demand. Yes the bakers are going to demand things from their government. But in the face of all this I don’t buy the commodity rally. Here’s why.

Woo Hoo I am a Bull in Bear’s Clothing

Yes folks you read that right I have become a bull, but in bear’s clothing mind you. On May 18, I became a Bear in Bull’s Clothing. On July 13, 2007 I said that the market had reached its high water mark. And on December 3, 2007 I became a bear. I am very optimistic, even though I should not be. I am looking at my portfolio and right now I am staring at 0.35% returns since the beginning of this year. Until the beginning of this week my returns were around 6.8%. This week I was completely walloped. But I am completely optimistic, because after seeing this week I feel like singing Pat Benetar’s “Hit Me With Your Best Shot!”

Is Credit Suisse is the Canary in the Mine?

Disclosure: I hold positions in Credit Suisse, and am extremely bullish.

I like Credit Suisse because unlike its competitors they have stayed away from much of the sub-prime crisis. Though I am worried about what Credit Suisse has just announced.

Credit Suisse has written $2.85 billion off the value of its asset-backed investments and found mismarking and pricing errors on its books, it revealed on Tuesday, sending its shares plummeting.

Is Value Investing for Chumps or Wussies?

Tim Sykes has this habit of making fun of value investors (2).

So, value investors, listen up; you’re all a bunch of little sissy girls! You’ve become spoiled with the assets you manage, your mainstream credibility and the money you earn. I respect your strategy, but understand this:

I’m comin’ for you